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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217d | Watery-Lover | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,128 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  noreasapa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $4,913 | −$224 −4.6% | — |
| 217d | 0x847f…9dd23 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,087 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 217d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,853 | −$123 −3.2% | — |
| 217d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,151 | +$26 +1.2% | 2 |
| 217d | IH2P2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $3,024 | +$685 +23% | 3 |
| 217d | Incognitoo4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $16,620 | +$1,960 +12% | 3 |
| 217d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellUp64¢ → 100¢ | $8,098 | −$4,491 −55% | — |
| 218d | timeone12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyDown26¢ → 0¢ | $21,442 | −$21,442 −100% | 18 |
| 218d |  peacefulcat | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$513 +28% | 4 |
| 218d | kangkang123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 6 |
| 218d | timeone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellDown9¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | +$2,600 +100% | — |
| 218d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyDown9¢ → 0¢ | $1,495 | −$1,495 −100% | 8 |
| 218d | Watery-Lover | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $4,147 | +$956 +23% | 4 |
| 218d | sbcrr333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $3,237 | −$809 −25% | — |
| 218d | sbcrr333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$593 +30% | 4 |
| 218d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $2,968 | +$647 +22% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.