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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,232 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | averyveryrichman | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,099 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | Shallow-Actor | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,764 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | TonyChenn | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,411 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | 0x8808…e14c | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 216d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 |
| 216d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$45 +1.5% | 2 |
| 216d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $13,556 | +$692 +5.1% | 2 |
| 216d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $8,636 | +$1,806 +21% | 3 |
| 217d |  Cristiano77 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | −$200 −11% | — |
| 217d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$348 +9.9% | 3 |
Endgamepol1,159 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.