Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214d |  kboss | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,607 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 214d |  0x66b71 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,703 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Watchful-FloozieNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,635 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 214d | kboss | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,894 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 214d | Watchful-FloozieNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,634 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 214d | fdgadva | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 214d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$120 +6.4% | 3 |
| 214d | 0x66b71 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,558 | +$148 +4.2% | 2 |
| 214d | 0xe617…f2513 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $12,468 | +$1,021 +8.2% | 3 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $33,494 | +$6,059 +18% | 4 |
| 214d | 9ijnm | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 7 |
| 214d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $24,241 | +$8,019 +33% | 4 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | −$1,183 −100% | 6 |
| 214d | Illiterate-Imitation | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyDown64¢ → 0¢ | $3,575 | −$3,575 −100% | 5 |
| 215d | beinevitable | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyDown68¢ → 0¢ | $2,891 | −$2,891 −100% | 4 |
| 215d |  bymuril | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $1,926 | −$1,926 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.