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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,920 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp>99¢ | $26,636 | +$80 +0.3% | 2 |
| 209d |  noob. | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$42 −4.1% | — |
| 209d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$60 +2.8% | 2 |
| 209d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,405 | +$94 +2.1% | 2 |
| 209d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$58 −4.4% | — |
| 209d | Umbredak | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$67 −5.9% | — |
| 209d | Incognitoo4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $16,211 | +$571 +3.5% | 2 |
| 209d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $5,591 | +$331 +5.9% | 3 |
| 209d | daozhu1234 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$173 −11% | — |
| 209d | sbcrr333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | −$1,462 −100% | 5 |
| 209d | 0x38e1…5175 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$692 +35% | 4 |
| 209d | Slumdoc | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$303 −29% | — |
| 209d | Slumdoc | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$281 +27% | 3 |
| 209d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | +$1,073 +37% | 4 |
| 210d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,481 | +$3,345 +96% | 4 |
| 210d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,909 | −$1,909 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.