Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,328 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 206d | ziyue | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$32 +2.0% | 2 |
| 206d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $4,984 | +$112 +2.3% | 2 |
| 206d | tester13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | SellUp31¢ → 0¢ | $2,623 | +$2,623 +100% | — |
| 206d | tester13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $2,465 | −$2,465 −100% | 9 |
| 206d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $8,416 | +$732 +8.7% | 3 |
| 206d | 0x024d…a6fe | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $4,923 | +$4,366 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.