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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,882 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d |  chenandyk | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,283 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 232d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,981 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $50,000 | +$569 +1.1% | 2 |
| 232d | Incognitoo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,956 | +$34 +0.7% | 2 |
| 233d | MO5777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | −$183 −5.5% | — |
| 233d | chenandyk | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$55 +3.6% | 2 |
| 233d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$502 +20% | 3 |
| 233d | newhighs2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | SellDown23¢ → 0¢ | $3,092 | +$3,092 +100% | — |
| 233d | newhighs | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,485 | −$1,485 −100% | 6 |
| 233d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $2,608 | +$1,973 +76% | 6 |
| 233d | Bruised-Tea2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | SellDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,354 | +$2,354 +100% | — |
| 233d | MO5777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$2,042 +140% | 5 |
| 233d | wingwingwin | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 4 |
| 233d | hyperzhao2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $4,687 | +$4,687 +100% | — |
| 233d | hyperzhao4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $7,999 | −$7,999 −100% | 9 |
| 233d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $2,601 | −$2,601 −100% | 6 |
Fartard3,489 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.