Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | Short-Tatami | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,406 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | 0x79b6…3799 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,473 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | 0x9fa15722f9d6a56d6c204ce5d4880874a60b335d | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $20,000 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $7,602 | +$282 +3.7% | 2 |
| 229d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | −$121 −5.3% | — |
| 229d | 0x79b6…3799 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$45 +3.1% | 2 |
| 229d | Massive-PoignanceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | −$171 −6.1% | — |
| 229d | Massive-PoignanceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$178 +6.4% | 3 |
| 229d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$1,755 +56% | 6 |
| 230d | kederrac2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyUp29¢ → 0¢ | $3,918 | −$3,918 −100% | 10 |
| 230d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$437 +40% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.