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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166d |  avenger | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,611 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $15,433 | +$2,864 +19% | 3 |
| 166d | Flaky-Territory | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | −$48 −2.4% | — |
| 166d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,706 | −$110 −4.1% | — |
| 166d | avenger | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,466 | +$144 +4.2% | 2 |
| 166d | Mirotadze | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$357 +12% | 3 |
| 166d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $3,763 | +$664 +18% | 3 |
| 166d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | SellUp74¢ → 100¢ | $5,890 | −$2,069 −35% | — |
| 166d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $4,724 | −$4,724 −100% | 11 |
| 166d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyDown21¢ → 0¢ | $1,877 | −$1,877 −100% | 7 |
| 166d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$465 +43% | 4 |
| 167d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $7,941 | +$3,591 +45% | 4 |
| 167d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | SellDown30¢ → 0¢ | $2,842 | +$2,842 +100% | — |
| 167d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyDown42¢ → 0¢ | $1,271 | −$1,271 −100% | 4 |
| 167d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$3,000 +43% | 4 |
| 167d | Flaky-Territory | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$878 +73% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.