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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,106 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | Wary-Gemsbok | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$94 −6.4% | — |
| 165d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F14 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $18,226 | +$4,342 +24% | 3 |
| 165d | ian2.03 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $7,599 | +$1,104 +15% | 3 |
| 165d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyUp43¢ → 0¢ | $10,902 | −$10,902 −100% | 7 |
| 165d | N1xHS | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | −$99 −5.2% | — |
| 165d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | −$39 −3.2% | — |
| 165d | gobblewobble18 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $27,119 | +$8,487 +31% | 4 |
| 165d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$66 +6.4% | 3 |
| 165d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$332 +33% | 4 |
| 165d | Horrible-Degree | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellUp29¢ → 0¢ | $1,351 | +$1,351 +100% | — |
| 165d | rodger | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$441 +36% | 4 |
| 165d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown73¢ → 100¢ | $2,583 | −$955 −37% | — |
| 165d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$849 +32% | 4 |
| 165d | easypredict9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown62¢ → 100¢ | $38,790 | +$23,923 +62% | 4 |
| 165d | Horrible-Degree | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown65¢ → 100¢ | $1,951 | −$1,059 −54% | — |
| 165d | Identical-Schooner | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown57¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$847 −77% | — |
| 165d | easypredict8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyUp64¢ → 0¢ | $30,604 | −$30,604 −100% | 4 |
| 165d | gobblewobble11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyUp75¢ → 0¢ | $15,315 | −$15,315 −100% | 4 |
| 165d | Horrible-Degree | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown35¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$1,943 +182% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.