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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162d | Mirotadze | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | chechefish | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,962 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | va235s123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,647 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | 2va4s123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,602 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $14,887 | +$4,581 +31% | 4 |
| 162d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | −$87 −4.0% | — |
| 162d | patternrecovery | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyDown14¢ → 0¢ | $1,192 | −$1,192 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $3,079 | +$501 +16% | 3 |
| 162d | ftrxc64afn2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $2,720 | +$480 +18% | 3 |
| 162d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | −$290 −19% | — |
| 162d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$811 +43% | 5 |
| 162d | WhiteHotIce2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 8 |
| 162d | saintQ | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellDown30¢ → 0¢ | $1,774 | +$1,774 +100% | — |
| 162d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $5,568 | −$1,856 −33% | — |
| 162d | chechefish | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$452 +30% | 4 |
| 162d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$177 +18% | 3 |
| 162d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyDown21¢ → 0¢ | $1,762 | −$1,762 −100% | 7 |
| 162d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $3,636 | +$1,814 +50% | 4 |
| 162d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$456 +43% | 4 |
| 162d | Xpec | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | SellDown30¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | +$1,243 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.