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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161d |  Benevento | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,104 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $3,238 | +$362 +11% | 3 |
| 161d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 161d | gobblewobble6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $12,654 | +$1,659 +13% | 3 |
| 161d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | −$53 −4.6% | — |
| 161d | brokehim | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | SellUp14¢ → 0¢ | $1,223 | +$1,223 +100% | — |
| 161d | amnesia12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$177 +16% | 3 |
| 161d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $9,727 | +$1,853 +19% | 3 |
| 161d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $14,356 | +$3,465 +24% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.