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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d |  Benevento | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,355 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  Facaie | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,297 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  trulyalya12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $5,583 | −$271 −4.9% | — |
| 160d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $13,870 | +$81 +0.6% | 2 |
| 160d | rusgreat | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 160d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $11,992 | +$349 +2.9% | 2 |
| 160d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $3,334 | +$172 +5.1% | 2 |
| 160d | gobblewobble4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $12,444 | +$484 +3.9% | 2 |
| 160d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $27,614 | +$4,636 +17% | 3 |
| 160d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$352 +18% | 3 |
| 160d | Benevento | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,476 | −$1,476 −100% | 4 |
| 161d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $2,868 | +$2,985 +104% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.