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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159d | VikingTrader | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,751 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | POLMAXI | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,096 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 159d | justfortestingpurpose | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,187 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 159d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | −$42 −2.8% | — |
| 159d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $16,162 | +$140 +0.9% | 2 |
| 159d | KOT-BR2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $16,618 | +$185 +1.1% | 2 |
| 159d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$41 +1.1% | 2 |
| 159d |  kAraBoga8964 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 160d | rusgreat | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | +$57 +3.1% | 2 |
| 160d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F19 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $22,565 | +$5,631 +25% | 4 |
| 160d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$1,051 +77% | 5 |
| 160d | qwertyuiopdd | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | SellUp66¢ → 0¢ | $1,289 | +$1,289 +100% | — |
| 160d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $4,752 | −$4,752 −100% | 5 |
| 160d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $3,309 | −$3,309 −100% | 6 |
coinman26,474 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.