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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156d | ftrxc64afn | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,368 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 156d | 2024 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $10,180 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $44,550 | −$45 −0.1% | — | |
| 157d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,305 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | samzi | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,745 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Shallow-Actor | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,373 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Wary-Gemsbok | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $7,222 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,544 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown89¢ → 100¢ | $5,375 | −$645 −12% | — | |
| 158d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,492 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,411 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 158d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,305 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,162 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 158d | 2024 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 158d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 158d | gobblewobble9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $16,024 | +$2,299 +14% | 3 |
| 158d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $7,412 | +$1,737 +23% | 4 |
| 158d | redvinny4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $5,918 | −$1,127 −19% | — |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyUp20¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 | |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyUp26¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | −$1,009 −100% | 5 | |
| 158d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $2,242 | +$813 +36% | 4 | |
| 158d | redvinny2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $10,364 | +$2,054 +20% | 3 |
| 158d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | SellDown83¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$206 −20% | — |
| 158d | samzi | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 3 |
| 158d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $3,222 | +$614 +19% | 3 |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $19,562 | +$8,383 +43% | 4 | |
| 159d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyUp61¢ → 0¢ | $13,014 | −$13,014 −100% | 4 | |
| 159d | Twenty9 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | −$1,102 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.