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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $23,986 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 156d | Thehhh | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 157d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,923 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 157d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $13,147 | −$13 −0.1% | — | |
| 157d | rusgreat | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$90 +6.4% | 3 |
| 157d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $27,471 | +$7,590 +28% | 3 |
| 157d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | SellDown19¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 157d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 157d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyDown26¢ → 0¢ | $4,453 | −$4,453 −100% | 11 |
| 157d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | +$588 +18% | 3 | |
| 157d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $5,544 | +$1,679 +30% | 4 |
| 157d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$169 +16% | 3 |
| 157d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyDown30¢ → 0¢ | $4,619 | −$4,619 −100% | 10 |
| 157d | gobblewobble4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $5,540 | +$1,881 +34% | 4 |
| 158d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $7,400 | +$2,600 +35% | 4 |
| 158d | Twenty9 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | SellDown26¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | +$1,078 +100% | — |
| 158d | Twenty9 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BuyDown35¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | −$1,421 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.