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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | POLMAXI | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | URAL17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $8,209 | +$168 +2.0% | 2 |
| 174d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 2 |
| 174d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $11,936 | +$2,578 +22% | 3 |
| 174d | redvinny2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | SellDown80¢ → 100¢ | $3,789 | −$947 −25% | — |
| 174d | redvinny | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $7,070 | +$1,769 +25% | 4 |
| 174d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | +$847 +34% | 4 |
| 174d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $4,652 | +$1,538 +33% | 4 |
| 175d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.