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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,419 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 155d | 2024 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,554 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,200 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,100 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 155d | wackoth12453422 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $3,852 | +$269 +7.0% | 3 |
| 155d | Dead-Dinosaur | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$25 −2.3% | — |
| 155d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | −$74 −3.1% | — |
| 155d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $13,751 | +$3,771 +27% | 4 |
| 155d | gobblewobble5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $9,647 | +$1,114 +12% | 3 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp8¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | +$1,081 +100% | — | |
| 155d | Agreeable-Circadian | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$443 −38% | — |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$502 +13% | 3 | |
| 155d | Horrible-Degree | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellDown60¢ → 100¢ | $4,756 | −$3,171 −67% | — |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown37¢ → 100¢ | $16,411 | +$27,879 +170% | 11 | |
| 155d | Sorrowful-Wife | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellDown35¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$2,320 −185% | — |
| 155d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp80¢ → 0¢ | $3,446 | −$3,446 −100% | 3 |
| 155d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp73¢ → 0¢ | $3,960 | −$3,960 −100% | 4 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp74¢ → 0¢ | $17,973 | −$17,973 −100% | 4 | |
| 155d | Horrible-Degree | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown29¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$3,550 +245% | 5 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $8,645 | −$8,645 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.