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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,030 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 154d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | +$50 +2.2% | 2 |
| 154d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $10,548 | +$3,773 +36% | 4 |
| 154d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $2,164 | +$240 +11% | 3 |
| 154d | Agreeable-Circadian | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | SellDown79¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | −$394 −27% | — |
| 154d | mojitoforwin | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | SellDown75¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | −$984 −33% | — |
| 154d | mojitoforwin | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyDown37¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$2,465 +171% | 5 |
| 154d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyUp68¢ → 0¢ | $4,446 | −$4,446 −100% | 4 |
| 154d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyUp61¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | −$1,029 −100% | 4 |
| 154d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 4 |
| 155d |  Alexandru888 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 155d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,554 +104% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.