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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,191 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 153d | dilemma | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 153d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,829 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 153d | anon.1980.1233 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $6,321 | +$96 +1.5% | 2 |
| 153d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $11,208 | +$260 +2.3% | 2 |
| 153d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | −$28 −1.8% | — | |
| 153d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$36 +2.8% | 2 | |
| 154d | gobblewobble13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $21,387 | +$3,053 +14% | 3 |
| 154d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$126 +11% | 3 |
| 154d | easyclap6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $17,724 | +$6,875 +39% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.