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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d |  Facaie | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,377 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Flaky-Bidding | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,134 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | FFFly | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 173d | URAL17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $9,138 | +$64 +0.7% | 2 |
| 173d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $9,931 | +$159 +1.6% | 2 |
| 173d |  NotRoaringKitty | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,965 | +$35 +0.7% | 2 |
| 173d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F14 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $24,850 | +$7,814 +31% | 4 |
| 173d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyDown65¢ → 0¢ | $2,348 | −$2,348 −100% | 4 |
| 173d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $3,468 | +$1,685 +49% | 4 |
| 174d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.