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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,682 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 146d | C03B | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $8,352 | +$50 +0.6% | 2 |
| 146d | bot258 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 146d | URAL173 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $24,310 | +$221 +0.9% | 2 |
| 146d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $11,798 | +$1,661 +14% | 3 |
| 146d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | +$125 +5.3% | 2 |
| 146d | Sociopathy | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | SellDown82¢ → 0¢ | $3,092 | +$3,092 +100% | — |
| 146d | Sociopathy | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $2,059 | −$2,059 −100% | 4 |
| 146d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyDown79¢ → 0¢ | $9,238 | −$9,238 −100% | 3 |
| 147d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$1,212 +82% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.