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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $10,973 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 171d | Flaky-Territory | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 171d | Yanncll | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$43 +1.2% | 2 |
| 171d | Incognitoo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | +$63 +2.1% | 2 |
| 171d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$147 +4.9% | 2 |
| 171d |  Albedo00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$71 +6.6% | 3 |
| 171d | tom33y | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $4,598 | −$644 −14% | — |
| 171d | Twenty9 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyDown26¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 6 |
| 171d | tom33y | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | +$2,296 +78% | 4 |
| 171d | 9da3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $3,452 | −$3,452 −100% | 4 |
| 171d | neutralwave23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | SellDown39¢ → 0¢ | $6,754 | +$6,754 +100% | — |
| 171d | neutralwave233 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $3,306 | −$3,306 −100% | 5 |
| 171d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$1,982 +100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.