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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | gambler2462835tw7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $25,375 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,331 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $28,038 | +$15,880 +57% | 5 |
| 170d | Pajszer2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $2,122 | −$476 −22% | — |
| 171d | 0x9870…7d2a | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | +$117 +9.0% | 3 |
| 171d | easyclap7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $32,674 | +$9,255 +28% | 3 |
| 171d | marthastewartch | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyDown19¢ → 0¢ | $2,082 | −$2,082 −100% | 9 |
| 171d | Pajszer | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$597 +30% | 4 |
| 171d |  Shakeshilly2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | +$687 +32% | 4 |
| 171d | osto2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp49¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$10,297 +105% | 5 |
| 171d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyDown65¢ → 0¢ | $28,277 | −$28,277 −100% | 4 |
| 171d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp44¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,800 +127% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.