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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,706 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | jhz11224 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $16,757 | +$55 +0.3% | 2 |
| 169d |  Iwillwinsoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 169d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$97 +3.1% | 2 |
| 169d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$134 +7.5% | 3 |
| 170d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $14,383 | +$5,320 +37% | 4 |
| 170d | ahasan80 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyUp36¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 170d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyUp45¢ → 0¢ | $5,120 | −$5,120 −100% | 6 |
| 170d | gambler2462835tw3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $13,528 | −$13,528 −100% | 4 |
| 170d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$7,500 +100% | 4 |
| 170d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $6,185 | −$6,185 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.