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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,381 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $2,638 | −$229 −8.7% | — |
| 168d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $6,883 | +$1,888 +27% | 4 |
| 168d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $38,372 | +$22,127 +58% | 5 |
| 168d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $4,725 | −$4,725 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | BitcoinNcaviar | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | SellDown40¢ → 0¢ | $3,771 | +$3,771 +100% | — |
| 168d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $6,775 | −$6,775 −100% | 8 |
| 168d | BitcoinNcaviar | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyDown34¢ → 0¢ | $1,755 | −$1,755 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | +$367 +20% | 3 |
| 168d | Identical-Schooner | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | SellDown62¢ → 0¢ | $1,425 | +$1,425 +100% | — |
| 169d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$1,294 +113% | 4 |
| 169d | Identical-Schooner | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 4 |
| 169d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.