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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,302 | −$81 −1.3% | — |
| 167d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 167d | gobblewobble6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $11,923 | +$1,153 +9.7% | 3 |
| 167d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$610 +26% | 4 |
| 167d | ian2.0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $8,700 | −$2,276 −26% | — |
| 167d | ian2.02 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $8,979 | +$1,090 +12% | 3 |
| 167d |  Benevento | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$180 +16% | 3 |
| 168d | Flaky-Territory | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | SellUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | −$451 −35% | — |
| 168d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9? | BuyUp45¢ → 100¢ | $2,870 | +$3,513 +122% | 5 |
Cristiano771,101 shares
capixaba500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.