Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345d | fgjhesdrgh | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d | Dasbot1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d | mateusznatanek92 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d | kjluyikhj | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d | Ironclad-Mission | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d | gjdffgj | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d |  APaintnobroke2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $15,038 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 345d |  RaisasAndKathrinsPensionfund2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,899 | +$26 +0.9% | 2 |
| 345d | jack1MUSD | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | −$63 −3.1% | — |
| 345d | Narakuka | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$153 −9.9% | — |
| 345d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $2,442 | +$333 +14% | 3 |
| 345d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyDown47¢ → 100¢ | $4,288 | +$4,893 +114% | 5 |
| 345d | lowrisk2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | SellUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | +$1,620 +100% | — |
| 345d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | SellUp71¢ → 0¢ | $2,768 | +$2,768 +100% | — |
| 345d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyUp76¢ → 0¢ | $3,026 | −$3,026 −100% | 4 |
| 345d | vicpips | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyUp92¢ → 0¢ | $3,410 | −$3,410 −100% | 3 |
| 345d |  bitdictator | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | SellUp93¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | +$1,201 +100% | — |
| 345d | lowrisk2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12? | BuyUp92¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | −$1,840 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.