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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 342d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$22 +2.1% | 2 |
| 342d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $5,605 | −$627 −11% | — |
| 342d | exceeding45 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyDown67¢ → 100¢ | $58,472 | +$28,599 +49% | 4 |
| 342d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyDown57¢ → 100¢ | $26,794 | +$20,425 +76% | 4 |
| 343d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$342 +33% | 4 |
| 343d | easyclap33 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $84,591 | +$25,325 +30% | 4 |
| 343d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $5,066 | −$2,447 −48% | — |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.