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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351d |  1am-874 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,268 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 351d |  michele2222 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $40,260 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 351d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,956 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 351d | Dash72 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,318 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 351d |  bitdictator | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | −$51 −2.7% | — |
| 351d | This-NitNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 351d | Dordorbaby | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$53 +2.0% | 2 |
| 352d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $5,921 | +$3,030 +51% | 4 |
| 352d | exceeding4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyDown57¢ → 0¢ | $4,600 | −$4,600 −100% | 4 |
| 352d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 4 |
| 352d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $24,927 | −$24,927 −100% | 4 |
| 352d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,918 | −$1,918 −100% | 4 |
| 353d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$924 +92% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.