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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351d | ABigWiner | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 351d | Mean-Sidestream | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $8,421 | +$64 +0.8% | 2 |
| 351d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,848 | +$60 +1.0% | 2 |
| 351d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $4,424 | +$691 +16% | 3 |
| 351d | lowrisk2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | SellDown54¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | −$1,988 −85% | — |
| 351d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $11,638 | +$3,288 +28% | 3 |
| 351d | todouzai | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyUp29¢ → 0¢ | $2,702 | −$2,702 −100% | 8 |
| 351d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyDown60¢ → 100¢ | $4,745 | +$3,153 +66% | 4 |
| 351d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $2,182 | −$2,182 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 5 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 6 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 5 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 6 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.