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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | capi21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 22d | Smooth-Double | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 22d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyDown70¢ → 0¢ | $1,484 | −$1,484 −100% | 5 |
| 22d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyDown69¢ → 0¢ | $2,257 | −$2,257 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.