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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374d | Hashbrown2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,416 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 374d | eddee | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,698 | +$15 +0.9% | 2 |
| 374d | Malangk | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 374d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $7,742 | +$1,121 +14% | 3 |
| 374d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | −$220 −6.6% | — |
| 374d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$480 +14% | 3 |
| 375d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,754 | +$802 +29% | 4 |
| 375d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $2,613 | +$737 +28% | 3 |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $3,116 | +$1,366 +44% | 4 | |
| 375d | Aachau2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $3,297 | −$3,297 −100% | 7 |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,142 | −$1,142 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 12 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 13 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 12 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 13 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.