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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,026 | +$41 +0.8% | 2 |
| 6d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 6d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | +$376 +16% | 3 |
| 7d | meetmy100bucks | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown29¢ → 0¢ | $2,876 | −$2,876 −100% | 8 |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown34¢ → 0¢ | $9,784 | −$9,784 −100% | 11 | |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,878 | −$2,878 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.