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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,428 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$139 +11% | 3 |
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | SellDown44¢ → 100¢ | $6,275 | −$8,071 −129% | — | |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BuyUp84¢ → 0¢ | $2,721 | −$2,721 −100% | 3 |
| 5d | fred4332 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown28¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$4,504 +260% | 6 |
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown27¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$2,718 +272% | 4 | |
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown32¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$7,498 +208% | 8 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.