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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,419 | +$233 +5.3% | 2 |
| 3d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | −$142 −8.7% | — |
| 3d | bd.boy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SellUp42¢ → 100¢ | $2,438 | −$3,365 −138% | — |
| 3d | Biomechanikaxx | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SellDown41¢ → 0¢ | $2,518 | +$2,518 +100% | — |
| 3d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $1,726 | −$1,726 −100% | 4 |
| 3d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SellUp53¢ → 100¢ | $4,218 | −$3,717 −88% | — |
| 3d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $4,762 | +$3,173 +67% | 4 |
| 4d | Biomechanikaxx | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $3,412 | −$3,412 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.