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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364d | vicpips | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,281 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $10,665 | +$108 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 364d | xcyy | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | −$170 −7.5% | — | |
| 364d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $6,317 | +$1,720 +27% | 4 |
| 364d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | +$937 +47% | 5 |
| 365d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,131 | −$1,131 −100% | 4 |
| 365d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$968 +94% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 22 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 23 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 22 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 23 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.