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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d |  gangwarharshit | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,328 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $4,486 | +$365 +8.1% | 3 |
| 19d |  Sxc123.sxc | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $5,861 | +$5,861 +100% | — |
| 19d | Sxc123.sxc | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $5,536 | −$5,536 −100% | 4 |
| 20d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $1,452 | −$1,452 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya12,494 shares
msyq1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is lower than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is higher than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.