Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | Educated-Shoat | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 42d | trader-827e741f | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,257 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,390 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $5,325 | +$3,736 +70% | 4 | |
| 42d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$593 +59% | 5 | |
| 43d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.