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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405d | Chalasis | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,405 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 405d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,323 | +$19 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 405d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,797 | +$58 +1.5% | 2 | |
| 405d | Hashbrown2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,308 | +$102 +1.4% | 2 |
| 405d | muzidf | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | +$67 +3.3% | 2 |
| 405d | easyclap4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $14,671 | +$2,373 +16% | 3 |
| 406d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $4,835 | +$1,000 +21% | 3 | |
| 406d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SellDown22¢ → 0¢ | $2,687 | +$2,687 +100% | — |
| 406d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$287 +25% | 3 |
| 406d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $3,199 | +$551 +17% | 3 |
| 406d | bc1234 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,173 +23% | 3 |
| 406d | Chalasis | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$295 +27% | 3 |
| 406d | hedgetrimma | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyDown23¢ → 0¢ | $2,155 | −$2,155 −100% | 8 |
| 406d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$376 +33% | 4 |
| 407d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$937 +94% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.