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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41d | Elastic-Mime | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,040 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,013 | +$46 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 41d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | +$137 +7.5% | 2 | |
| 42d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$2,050 +69% | 4 |
| 42d | AmericaFirst1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,483 | −$1,483 −100% | 4 |
| 42d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.