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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,417 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 39d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $5,971 | +$1,205 +20% | 3 |
| 39d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $18,107 | +$2,031 +11% | 3 | |
| 39d | hqcake03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$370 +37% | 4 |
| 40d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.