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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | Educated-Shoat4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $13,684 | +$50 +0.4% | 2 |
| 38d |  coinman23 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $8,983 | +$585 +6.5% | 2 |
| 38d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,124 | +$112 +5.3% | 2 |
| 39d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | +$522 +22% | 3 |
| 39d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya12,885 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.