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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,827 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 35d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,691 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 35d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $7,910 | +$258 +3.3% | 2 |
| 35d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,826 | +$124 +4.4% | 2 |
| 35d | easyclap4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $11,142 | +$1,179 +11% | 3 |
| 36d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,330 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.