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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,391 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 51d | Balenos | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 51d | turtle122 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $12,253 | −$837 −6.8% | — |
| 51d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$51 +3.8% | 2 |
| 51d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $5,318 | +$449 +8.5% | 3 |
| 51d | turtle12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +20% | 3 |
| 51d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $20,588 | +$2,876 +14% | 3 | |
| 51d | Balenos | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$81 +5.3% | 2 |
| 51d | ruben2009 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp34¢ → 0¢ | $2,032 | −$2,032 −100% | 6 |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,478 | −$1,478 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.