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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,535 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 45d | Smooth-Double | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | Sharky6999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,869 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,323 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 45d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $14,344 | +$4,481 +31% | 4 |
| 45d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyUp64¢ → 0¢ | $3,580 | −$3,580 −100% | 5 |
| 45d | vedaresearch.btc2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyUp81¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | −$3,200 −100% | 4 |
| 45d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $6,658 | −$6,658 −100% | 5 |
| 45d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BuyUp70¢ → 0¢ | $1,521 | −$1,521 −100% | 4 | |
| 46d | 0x8916…23de | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | SellUp57¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | +$1,063 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.