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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece vs. Spain | 100% | +52 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spain (-4.5) | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 157.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | Vigilant-Environment | Spain (-4.5) | BuyGreece57¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$1,186 +75% | 4 |
| 53d | Vigilant-Environment | Spain (-4.5) | BuySpain55¢ → 0¢ | $1,682 | −$1,682 −100% | 4 |
| 53d | Secondary-Covariate | Greece vs. Spain | BuySpain60¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 6 |
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET: If the Greece win, the market will resolve to "Greece". If the Spain win, the market will resolve to "Spain". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Greece vs. Spain means the market gives it about 100%.