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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $100M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $200M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $300M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $500M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $1B | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | udontknowanything | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,095 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 232d | 168168168168 | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,199 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 232d |  poorersob | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,894 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | droopyal | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d |  Cloverince | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,847 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | Cloverince | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,738 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | ccc11ttx | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | ccc11ttx | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$13 +0.9% | 2 |
| 232d | ccc11ttx | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | 1681681681682 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,199 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | lichenglicheng | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,212 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d |  maoziz2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,195 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,338 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | 0x15ce9A512F0d4475ABb6DbA71ae702E2Dc1703 | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,314 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 232d | kkdsj | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,604 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | kkdsj2 fills | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,276 | +$73 +0.3% | 2 |
| 232d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,549 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | kkdsj2 fills | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | kkdsj2 fills | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,705 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | honmgs | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,105 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 232d | 1881aa | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,561 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 232d | lichenglicheng | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,338 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 232d | miremm | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,780 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 232d | Thirsty-Proofreader | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$14 +1.1% | 2 |
| 232d | 1881aa2 fills | $50M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,410 | +$100 +2.3% | 2 |
| 232d |  EleveResearch | $50M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 232d | EleveResearch | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,405 | +$28 +1.2% | 2 |
| 233d | 0x15ce9A512F0d4475ABb6DbA71ae702E2Dc1703 | $50M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$39 +3.1% | 2 |
wendypeekaboo100 shares
0xleo888100 shares
bjprolo100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Block Street's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Block Street (https://x.com/BlockSt_HQ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $50M means the market gives it about 100%.