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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d |  JJo | Bolsonaro arrested in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,393 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 688d | ChrisV | Bolsonaro arrested in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$58 −5.2% | — |
| 692d | ItamarBleinad | Bolsonaro arrested in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$51 +4.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between November 20 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.