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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 683d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,516 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,214 | +$99 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 683d | bruj | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,052 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 683d | Qtyu3 fills | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,348 | +$164 +2.0% | 20 |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,547 | +$417 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,628 | −$59 −3.6% | — | |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | −$48 −2.8% | — | |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,068 | +$257 +6.3% | 20 | |
| 683d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 683d | 0xb5df0874c43f95e64af13c3ffe6d6a79bcab469 | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$108 +7.9% | 20 |
| 683d | keyu | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | +$137 +9.0% | 21 |
| 684d | Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday? | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | −$2,551 −100% | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.