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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07) | 100% | +76 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0% | −57 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 0% | −18 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | Humming-Crystal | Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,364 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | Humming-Crystal | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,648 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | UpTheBlues8 fills | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $15,125 | +$11,437 +76% | 14 |
| 55d | Flaznorp | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,195 | +$1,049 +25% | 4 |
| 55d | Humming-Crystal | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$651 +33% | 9 |
| 55d | SharkVision | SC Paderborn 07 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | +$249 +12% | 4 |
| 55d | Flaznorp | SC Paderborn 07 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$339 +18% | 4 |
| 55d | VD721lsj4938Dk388 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$942 +67% | 4 |
| 55d | WINSONS | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 4 |
| 55d | UpTheBlues | SC Paderborn 07 | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | UpTheBlues | Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07) | BuyYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$4,935 +376% | 14 |
| 55d | NiNo999 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $35,000 | −$35,000 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | comon119 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | Daigiadinhngocson | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | neutralwave23 | SC Paderborn 07 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,711 | +$831 +18% | 9 |
| 55d | suntori | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | Noisy-Rating | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | psgwin666 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | Unsteady-Quinoa | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $11,855 | +$11,855 +100% | — |
| 55d |  0x2021x | Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07) | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,128 | −$1,128 −100% | 11 |
| 55d | GoalLineGhost | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 14 |
| 55d | Unsteady-Quinoa | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $24,093 | −$24,093 −100% | 12 |
| 55d | gransaaa | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $11,247 | −$11,247 −100% | 12 |
| 55d | Zzzz87 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,525 | −$1,525 −100% | 12 |
| 55d | UpTheBlues2 fills | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $2,724 | −$2,724 −100% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07) means the market gives it about 100%.